NEWS:

March 24, 2013: This site is running the code developed by Tad Hurst.

This section created with the help of Aaron Colby.
Why not submit your favorite site? I need site name, lat, long, LZ and launch altitudes and the zipcode.

- Alan

See the southern California RASP Model The detail grid covers the San Diego sites, but the 4km grid covers most of southern California.

Instructional video on reading the RASP Model

NEW!
Check out the WINDGRAMS Windgrams are available for some Eastern Sierra sites from the more accurate RASP data


Sounding

Station:

KVBG (alt)

Date/Time:

27 MAY 2018

Temp/Wind data from:

NOAA Digital Forecast
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Site
Name
Wind Above
Launch
Wind Above
Launch
Wind Above
Launch
Wind Above
Launch
Wind Above
Launch
Wind Above
Launch
Garlock SW 15 5701 W 10 7218 SW 14 9807 SW 26 7218 SW 28 4945 W 18 5191
Boomer Ridge W 20 5172 W 14 8083 SW 15 11185 W 31 7583 W 33 4985 W 23 5172
9-Mile N 14 6255 NW 15 9760 NW 14 11391 W 24 9760 W 24 6038 W 20 6512
Flynns NW 15 5729 NW 12 10902 SW 10 10902 SW 16 10256 SW 15 6813 N 9 7345
Gunter NW 12 1979 W 8 9365 S 9 10996 SW 17 7108 SW 17 3955 SW 10 2874
Paiute NW 13 3508 NW 10 8686 S 10 11106 SW 18 12756 SW 18 6502 W 10 5986
Chalk Bluffs N 15 7744 N 12 10997 S 8 10997 SW 17 10997 SW 18 9287 NW 8 8788
McGee Creek N 12 2549 N 9 11163 S 8 11163 SW 17 9400 SW 18 4692 W 9 4692
Bria Dog Ridge NW 14 2856 N 10 10413 S 8 12117 SW 18 8814 SW 20 4966 W 10 4419
Mammoth N 15 446 N 14 5490 SW 14 7633 SW 21 4772 S 20 864 W 10 1672
Walts N 18 2401 NW 13 7323 W 9 7971 W 18 9198 W 24 4741 NW 12 4741
Copper Mountain N 12 2522 N 9 7570 SW 9 7570 SW 18 3801 SW 16 2326 W 8 2326
Horseshoe N 18 2401 NW 13 7323 W 9 7971 W 18 9198 W 24 4741 NW 12 4741
Wolf Peak N 12 2033 N 8 4554 SW 13 7306 SW 21 3462 SW 18 1242 W 8 1638
Sweetwater N 17 1597 N 15 5739 SW 13 9651 SW 21 4977 SW 21 1992 W 9 1992
Lake Isabella Ground Launch Center W 18 5073 W 12 8019 W 17 9808 W 25 6830 W 25 4341 W 20 4830

DISCLAIMER: These estimates are intended to assist in daily site selection only.  No warranty is made concerning the accuracy of these estimates.  These estimates cannot be used to determine if conditions are safe for flying.  Conditions should be evaluated at the launch site by experienced pilots before launching.

Sounding: This is the site at which the weather balloon was released.  If the flying site predicted is far from the sounding site, the estimate is not valid.  Also, the sounding is done at 12Z (4AM PST).  If a front comes through, the sounding is no longer valid. The sounding becomes less valid later in the day.

Thermal Ceiling: the lower of the height at which the thermal stops rising and the cloud level.  We can't fly into the clouds, so it doesn't matter how much higher the thermal goes.  Remember that we can't get to the top of the thermal because of our sink rate.  Our upper limit will be lower than the reported ceiling.

Soaring Ceiling: We will stop going up when the thermal is rising just fast enough to offset our sink.  It is estimated that this happens when the temperature difference between the thermal and the surrounding air is about 2 degrees F. This number is an estimate of the maximum altitude we might reach if we start at launch height, and should be more reflective of our chances of soaring than the thermal top. Please let me know how this compares with actually flying, and I will adjust it as necessary.

Above Launch: The difference between how high we might get and how high we start. This estimate does not account for ridge lift.

High Temp: This estimate is taken from the National Weather Service website.  Puddle temperatures can exceed this temperature. 

Puddle Temp: This estimate is based on the High Temp and the National Weather Service estimate of cloudiness, and the angle of the sun.  When the sun is directly overhead on a sunny day, the puddle temp is esimated to be 25 degrees warmer than the high ambient temperature. This estimate now includes a rigorous calculation of the Sun Angle, and accounts for the seasonal differences in zenith and daylight hours.

Wind: This estimate is taken from the National Weather Service website.

Thermal Type: Blue (no cloud formation) or White (Cloud formation)

Thermal Index: This is the maximum difference in temperature between the rising packet of air (the thermal) and the surrounding air.  The difference in temperature is responsible for the buoyancy of the thermal, and larger temperature differences mean faster rising thermals.  A value of about 10 F or greater often means that the conditions are soarable.  Values above 20 could indicate rowdy thermals.

Validity of estimate: Many factors (including strong wind, fronts, cloud shadows, incorrectly predicted temperatures, etc) can affect the validity of the estimates. 

Author: Tad Hurst

Supported By: Alan Crouse ac_soaring@yahoo.com